Geopolitical Forecast for October 10th - 17th


Monday, October 10th


Istanbul. Turkey. 10-13 October. 23rd World Energy Congress. In the framework of a scheduled meeting, the Russian-Turkish intergovernmental commission on trade-economic cooperation will meet.
Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit. The program includes a meeting with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the convening of the 23rd World Energy Congress.

Istanbul. Turkey. Oct. 10-11. Informal meeting of the Committee of Senior Officials of the Organization of Black Sea Economic Cooperation.

Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia. The introduction of a duty-free policy for imports into the territory of the Eurasian Economic Union for Palestinian goods included in the preferential list.


South Korea. October 10-15. Joint Korea-US naval exercises in the southern part of the Yellow Sea and in the area of the island of Jeju with the participation of the US aircraft carrier "Ronald Reagan". There will be a simulation of an attack against North Korea.


Moldova. Oct. 10-11. The visit of the Deputy Prime Minister of Russia, special representative of the Russian President on Pridnestrovie, Dmitry Rogozin.

Brussels. Belgium. 10-13 October. European Week of Regions and Cities.

Denmark. The visit of the British Prime Minister Theresa May. The program includes a meeting with Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen.

Vilnius. Lithuania. Election Commission will present the preliminary results of the parliamentary elections.

Norway. 10-12 October. Visit of the President of Singapore Tony Tan Ken Yam.

Warsaw. Poland. Visit of Minister of Foreign Affairs of Belarus Vladimir Makei. The program includes a meeting with the country's Foreign Minister Witold Waszczykowski.

Strasbourg. France. October 10-14. The autumn plenary session of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe.

Paris. France. Presentation of the Energy Efficiency Market Report 2016).

Tallinn. Estonia. Scheduled inauguration ceremony of the new president Kersti Kaljulaid elected by Parliament on October 3.

Luxembourg. Luxembourg. The meeting of finance ministers of the EU countries (Eurogroup).They plan to discuss the economic situation in Greece, the results of the meeting of heads of financial departments of the "Big Seven" (G7) in Washington, DC, and others.

Poland. Demonstrations and pickets in various cities to protest against education reform.

North America

New York. USA. 11:00. Briefing and consultations in the UN Security Council on the situation in the Central African Republic, where there is a peacekeeping mission. Planned publication of the report of the UN mission in South Sudan, as well as a report on piracy in Somalia.


Khartoum. Sudan. Start of a new round of National Dialogue - a conference on the peaceful settlement in the country. The participation of Heads of State of the region, including Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, Mauritania - Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz, Uganda - Yoweri Museveni, Chad - Idriss Déby, the Prime Minister of Ethiopia Haylemariama Desalenya, is expected.

World Mental Health Day.

Tuesday, October 11th


Uzbekistan. 11-14 October. Study visit of the Bureau of the observer mission for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. On the basis of its findings will be decided whether a full monitoring of the presidential elections scheduled for December 4th .

Belarus. Effective decision to increase on average by 50% tariffs on oil transit through pipelines passing through its territory.

Moscow. Meeting of the Board of the Eurasian Economic Commission.


Luxembourg. EU Council meeting on financial issues (Ecofin).

North America

New York. USA. Briefing and consultations in the UN Security Council devoted to the situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where there is a UN stabilization mission.

The debate in the UN Security Council on the situation in Haiti and the work of the peacekeeping mission deployed in the country.

South America

Quito. Ecuador. 11-12 October. Meeting of Russian-Ecuadorian intergovernmental commission on trade and economic cooperation.

Wednesday, October 12th


Russia. 12-14 October. Scheduled visit of Serbian President Tomislav Nikolic. His participation in the opening of the Honorary Consulate of Serbia in St. Petersburg is planned.

Azerbaijan. Scheduled visit of President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev.

Astana. Kazakhstan. 12-13 of October. Meeting of representatives of the executive authorities of States - the CIS member states on cooperation in the space sector.


Goa. India. 12-13th October. The meeting of the elders of BRICS.

New Delhi. India. 12-14th October. The first trade fair of the BRICS countries.


Karlsruhe. GERMANY. 12-13th October. The Federal Constitutional Court will consider the claims against the agreement on creation of free trade zone between the EU and Canada.

Paris. France. The headquarters of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development will host a meeting of representatives of parliaments of the countries - participants of the organization.

Vienna. Austria. Publication of the monthly report of the Organization of countries - Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on the situation in the oil market.

North America

Canada. 12-13th October. The visit of the French Prime Minister Manuel Valls. The program includes a meeting with Justin Trudeau, the head of the country's government.

Thursday, October 13th


Moscow. Russia. Scheduled meeting of the government, which is expected to draft state budget for 2017-2019 would be considered.

Moscow. Russia. 15:30. Expanded meeting of the working group of the Eurasian Women's Forum.

Moscow. Russia. 13-14th October. Annual Conference of the International Alliance for Development and Public Policy.

Moscow. Russia. Planned Russian-Japanese negotiations in the framework of the strategic dialogue between the two countries. The participation of the First Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Vladimir Titov and Deputy Foreign Minister of Japan Shinsuke Sugiyama.

Yerevan. Armenia. 13-15th October. 1st International Exhibition of arms and defense technologies ArmHiTec-2016.


Thailand. 13-14th October. 21st ministerial meeting in the format of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations - the European Union.

Goa. India. BRICS Economic Forum.


Vienna. Austria. 13-14th October. Conference of Organization of Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), dedicated to the fight against drugs.

Glasgow. United Kingdom. 13-15th October. The annual conference of the Scottish National Party.

Venice. Italy. 10:00. 56th meeting of the Council for Democratic Elections of the European Commission for Democracy through Law (Venice Commission).

North America

New York. USA. It is expected that the UN Security Council will extend the mandate deployed in the Republic of Haiti peacekeeping mission.

Consultations on the UN Security Council on the situation in Burundi.

International Day for Disaster Reduction.

Friday, October 14th


Yerevan. Armenia. Joint meeting of the Council of Foreign Ministers, Defense Ministers and the Committee of Secretaries of Security Councils of the Collective Security Treaty Organization. Participation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

Uzbekistan. Scheduled Congress of People's Democratic Party, which put forward a candidate for the post of president of the Central Council Chairman Hatamzhon Ketmonov. Presidential elections are scheduled for 4 December.


Goa. India. The meeting of finance ministers and central bank heads of BRICS countries.


Venice. Italy. on October 14-15th. Plenary session of the European Commission for Democracy through Law (Venice Commission).

Rzeszow. Poland. on October 14-15th. The summit of the Visegrad Group (Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Czech Republic).

Nice. France. The ceremony in memory of the victims of the terrorist attack on 14th July which claimed 86 lives. President Francois Hollande is expected to participate.

Czech Republic. on October 14-15th. The second round of elections to the upper house of parliament.

North America

New York. USA. Planned publication of the report of the UN Interim Force in providing security in the area of ​​Abyei, which is disputed between Sudan and South Sudan.

Saturday, October 15th


Uzbekistan. Scheduled congress of the Social Democratic Party "Adolat", which has put forward a candidate for the post of head of the state chairman of the political council of the party Nariman Umarov. Scheduled Congress of the Democratic Party "Milly Tiklanish", which put forward a candidate for the presidency of its chairman Sarwar Otamuratov. Presidential elections are scheduled for 4 December.


Goa. India. 15-16 October. 8th BRICS summit. As part of the 8th Summit of the BRICS countries, in particular, will be held:
· Meeting of development banks (15-16th October);
· Financial Forum;
· Meeting of the heads of customs administrations (15-16th October);
· Annual meeting of the interbank cooperation mechanism.

Afghanistan. Elections to the People's Chamber of the National Assembly (lower house of parliament).


Frankfurt Am Main. Germany. 10:00. The Conference of the Christian Democratic Union / Christian Social Union "Europe and its role in the world" with the participation of Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.

Warsaw. Poland. 13:00. Planned protest demonstration against the signing of the agreement between the EU and the US transatlantic trade and investment partnership, as well as the free trade agreement with Canada.


Lome. Togo. Lome Summit, dedicated to maritime safety and the development of Africa (Sommet de Lome). Organizer - the African Union.

International Day of Rural Women.

Sunday, 16th October


Portugal. Elections to the Legislative Assembly (Parliament) of the Autonomous Region of the Azores.

Montenegro. Parliamentary elections.

World Food Day.